High Probability Trading Strategies

He is the most followed trader in Singapore with more than 100,000 traders reading his blog every month… Another method is called the Average True Range stop loss; it involves placing the stop-loss order a certain distance from the entry price, based on volatility. If your reason for trading—the setup—is present, then proceed to the next step. Regardless of your trading strategy, success relies on being disciplined, knowledgeable, and thorough.

In this case, a trade trigger could be when the price rallies above the $122 resistance area in August. At its simplest you are looking to make a trade from one swing point and ride the wave higher or lower for a profit. You can then profit as price swings back higher inline with the strong trend. No matter how strong a trend higher or lower is, price will always have swings. For example; if price is in a strong trend higher, price will still make swings back lower before continuing on with the trend. 1.You do not require to spend time at your monitor, the reason is that our trades last for some days or weeks.

high probability swing trading strategies

This idea is designed to be used with 10pip brick Renko charts. It combines the Renko price action with a directional coloured EMA and a RMI Currency Pair indicator to provide entry and exit signal indication. The idea is to catch a Trend direction swing and stay with as long as possible.

Again, I’ve only illustrated these three technical studies as a point of reference to start thinking about how you can go about achieving trading confluence. You can use a countless array of different combinations in an attempt to build your own high probability trading model. Any and all information discussed is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered tax, legal or investment advice.

You wait and see if a wedge is being formed, meaning two trendlines that meet each other, even better when this happens into a well-known support zone. If you don’t know the best ways to find support and resistance zones, we show you the most relevant ways in our free trading guide here. Ideally, you want to see high volume pushes at support and resistance zones.

What Is The Difference Between Swing Trading And Day Trading?

I would mult-timeframe analysis to the article to make it more holistic for any trader wishing to make the change to be effective and thus financially successful thereafter. When you trade it with risk management, discipline, and consistency, you’ll greatly increase the odds of becoming a consistently profitable trader. You’ll never know if the market is going to make a pullback or a trend reversal altogether. However, the range of the candles on the pullback will give you a clue. If it’s an uptrend, then wait for the price to pullback to an area of support . Anything more, chances are you’re going to get very little trading setups.

As a swing trader your goal is to find profitable trades and ride the next swing or wave in the market. This swing trade alert service focuses on the medium-to-longer term swing trade opportunities and not so much shorter term targets—think months instead of days or weeks. In this article we outline different swing trade alerts services and provide details about how they work so that traders can make the right choice when it comes to which service to use.

high probability swing trading strategies

This article aims to give you an overview of how we make money stock trading online and how you can learn to do the same. By risking a set amount, say 1% per trade, your trading will become more clear, less subjective, and better overall. It’s common for the majority to adjust their risk depending on their confidence at the moment. Great trading is based on statistics and therefore require consistent risk management.

How To Master Swing Trading

Upon meeting these conditions, enter a market order to sell. The stoploss would be placed below the swing low within the flag structure. There are countless other trading techniques that you can explore as well. However, there is one important trading concept that you should know because it will benefit any type of trading methodology used. And this concept that I am referring to is called, Confluence. Below you can see an illustration of the head and shoulders pattern.

high probability swing trading strategies

10MA might be short but if you’re looking to ride a short trend, it might be appropriate. Don’t make the mistake of managing it on a lower timeframe because you’ll scare yourself out of a trade on every pullback that occurs. For this, you’ll watch how the market reacts and then decide whether you want to hold or exit the trade. This means you’ll book your profits before the market reverse and wipe out your gains. The idea is to endure as “little pain” as possible by exiting your trades before the opposing pressure comes in.

Making sure each trade taken passes the five-step test is worth the effort. Here, we go over five simple steps to carry out before undertaking any trade.

The difference between your profit target and your entry point is the approximate reward of the trade; the difference between your entry point and your stop out point is the approximate risk. From there, you need to find the lowest point of the pull back — this is your stop out point, or the swing low. If the stock’s price drops below this point, you should sell your position to limit losses. When it comes to trading stocks, you could say that swing trading is the equivalent of a middle-distance race, like the 10K.

You’re entering your trade when the price does a false breakout of Support/Resistance. Thus taking advantage of traders who are trapped from trading the breakout. Because in this post, I’ll teach you step-by-step on how to find high probability trading setups. I follow yours trading rules and make some adjustment break event stop and trailing stop.

Swing Trading With Heikin Ashi And Stochastics

Over the year, that comes out to about 36%, which sounds good but offers less potential than a day trader’s potential earnings. There are many good trading entry setups out there, but few of them stipulate where or when to use them. Sure, some of them might use another trading indicator as a filter foreign exchange market but that’s not always enough to consistently increase the probability of a setup. The theory goes that when the 12-EMA crosses above the 26-EMA while the histogram goes into bullish territory, then price momentum will likely be bullish. As the image above shows, double check the price action.

  • This rule states that you should never risk more than 1% of your portfolio on any single trade.
  • If you’re going to use indicators to identify overbought/oversold areas, then use that only.
  • And then finally select the swing low within the flag structure, which is where we would be projecting our target from.
  • You can use an exponential moving average period 8 or just wait until price close below the 50% level of a big green candlestick.
  • SMAs with short lengths react more quickly to price changes than those with longer timeframes.

In case of SHORT trades, the “stuck in a box” strategy is traded in the same way, only in the opposite direction of course. If it’s a retracement, price moving in against the primary trend should be temporary and relatively brief. Retracement trading involves looking for a price to temporarily reverse within a larger trend. Price temporarily retraces to an earlier price point and then continues to move in the same direction later. It is ideal for those who can’t monitor their charts throughout the day but can dedicate a couple of hours analyzing the market every night.

Learn With A Trusted Educator

Bcoz you hold humanity but where as western world trying to make money from every thing by selling what they know. The idea here is to enter after the pullback has ended when the trend is likely to continue. Rayner Teo is an independent trader, ex-prop trader, and founder of TradingwithRayner. This may seem like a tedious process, yet once you know your strategy and get used to the steps, it should take only a few seconds to run through the entire list.

High Probability Swing Trading Strategies

The course not only helps you to understand the profit target but also makes you aware of the risk involved in the trade. This course teaches the secrets of successful traders, unique ideas to trade in Intraday, Swing, and Positional trades. Is a well-tailored trading course enabling the learning of a robust trading methodology. The course focuses on the learning and understanding of trading patterns, trading strategies, trading psychology, and money-making techniques. This is a perfect blend of theoretical knowledge & practical expertise in the Art of Trading. Using the 200 EMA we can then look for the times that price pulls back lower to test the longer term moving average and makes a swing low to get long inline with this trend higher.

However, this requires using your own swing trading strategy to identify trading opportunities. You can just as easily outsource your swing trade stock picks to swing trade alerts services well-versed in technical analysis and swing trading strategies for you to buy or sell. Another profitable swing trading strategy, pullback trading refers to trading the pullbacks to previously-broken support and resistance zones. Pullback trading is one of the most popular trading strategies among swing traders. This guide covers an example that illustrates how to swing trade stocks using a Fibonacci retracement and helps you to identify your swing trading entry and exit points.

How We Make Money Swing Trading Stocks

There are several different trading strategies often used by swing traders. Opportunities exist for swing traders in these non-bull or bear cases as well. They can take a long position near the support area and a short position near the resistance.

Our Swing Trade Philosophy

Using technical indicators can reduce the risks of speculative trading and help you to make clear decisions. While some swing traders pay attention to fundamental indicators as well, they are not needed for our simple strategies. Swing traders can use a wide array of technical indicators.

Day trading may be a good choice for those who want higher profit potential, while swing trading may suit those who want a lower-stress option. For day trading futures, it’s best to start with at least $5,000 to $7,500. These amounts depend on the prices of the futures contracts you’re trading. Day trading some contract types could require swing trade scanner much more capital, while a few contracts, such as micro contracts, may require less. If you’re day trading, you’ll need to have the most up-to-date software and technology to get the most out of your trading activity. Prices can change before you can even decide to make the trade, so automation is necessary to make trading profitable.

Your training is very practical and applicable, it realy made a lot of sense. It like am in a mirror, and thru your training guides i see my mistakes. Rayner I really improve my trading stragedy by watching your videos.Thanks a lot. I’m really impressed with you insightful ideas, clarity of your explanations and the enthusiasm of your delivery.

It work very good to me and see my account blooming makes me confident to use this strategy for all my trade.. Of couse i cant win all trade, but when i loss i loss only 1R and when im in profit i can take as much as 3R max.. So, you don’t want to give your trade too much room to breathe and quickly cut your losses when the market show signs of reversal. You’ll hold on to the trade if the price doesn’t break beyond the moving average. Ideally, you want to set your stop loss away from the “noise” of the markets and have a target profit within a reasonable reach . As a guideline, you want to see a pullback at least towards the 50-period moving average or deeper.

Author: Giles Coghlan



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